BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Tarleton St

Class: 1B Class Rank: 45 Conference: Western Athletic Conference Record: (3-4) Overall: (6-5) Overall Strength =   69.94

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/04/2021 Away    L *  73.13  10  20   1B  16 (  8-  4) Stephen F. Austin       2.83    -12.83                      
  2 09/11/2021 Home    W    70.20  54   7    2 164 (  0- 11) Fort Lewis             -0.10 *   47.10                      
  3 09/18/2021 Neutral L    51.44  35  40   1B 103 (  1- 10) Southern Utah         -18.85     13.85                      
  4 09/25/2021 Home    W    79.74  40  21    2  79 (  4-  6) New Mexico Highlands    9.44      9.56                      
  5 10/02/2021 Away    L *  59.62   3  20   1B  31 (  7-  4) Eastern Kentucky      -10.67     -6.33                      
  6 10/16/2021 Away    W *  79.51  41  20   1B  96 (  1- 10) Dixie St                9.21     11.79                      
  7 10/23/2021 Home    W    78.08  17  14    2  21 (  7-  3) Midwestern St           7.78     -4.78                      
  8 10/30/2021 Home    L *  69.77  27  45   1B   4 ( 10-  0) Sam Houston St         -0.53    -17.47                      
  9 11/06/2021 Home    W *  68.15  42  21   1B 120 (  2-  9) Lamar                  -2.15     23.15                      
 10 11/13/2021 Away    L *  47.16   3  29   1B  46 (  5-  6) Abilene Christian     -23.13     -2.87                      
 11 11/20/2021 Home    W *  92.76  24   3   1B  30 (  5-  6) Central Arkansas       22.46     -1.46                      
      Averages              69.96  26.9 21.8

Best game:   92.76 = 21 point win over Central Arkansas
Worst game:  47.16 = 26 point loss to Abilene Christian
Team stdev:  13.25